2015 Season results for Del Norte (BV,2-5A)

58   18   4
Rank in
State, Class, District
784     92
Strength     Momentum
1142   40.1(59)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  1W   16L   1T 
District  0W   5L   1T 
Expected  17:   1+   0- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
 

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/24/15 La Cueva 0.0001218L 0- 8 Expected (-4) 581 10%
08/26/15 at Atrisco Heritage 0.0011338L 0- 8 Expected (-2) 660 4%
08/29/15 Rio Rancho 0.0001418L 0-10 Expected (-4) 571 3%
09/01/15 at West Mesa 0.0121119L 1- 2 Expected (+3) 911 14%
09/03/15 Rio Grande 0.013936L 2- 5 Expected (-2) 700 33%
09/12/15 Piedra Vista !! 0.052799W 4- 1 Expected (+3) 933 51%
09/15/15 at Valencia 0.0301241L 1- 8 Expected (-2) 665 8%
09/17/15 Moriarty 0.101904L 1- 3 Expected (-1) 734 36%
09/19/15 Los Lunas 0.0161165L 1-10 Expected (-5) 501 14%
09/23/15 at Bernalillo 0.220898T 2- 2 Better (+1) 850 32%
09/26/15 at Hope Christian ? 0.1291009L 0- 6 Expected (-4) 602 21%
09/29/15 at Capital 0.1211241L 0- 7 Expected (-2) 665 7%
10/01/15 at West Mesa 0.3091119L 0- 4 Expected (0) 760 14%
10/06/15 Los Alamos 0.3721257L 0- 4 Expected (+1) 810 8%
10/10/15 Bernalillo ?? 0.355898L 2- 7 Expected (-4) 579 36%
10/17/15 Capital 0.5731241L 2- 6 Expected (0) 801 9%
10/22/15 at Manzano 0.983886L 2- 3 Expected (0) 795 33%
10/24/15 Los Alamos 0.6191257L 0- 4 Expected (+1) 810 8%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Del Norte actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1142, while
Del Norte's "weighted playing strength" is 768
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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