58 18 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
784 92 Strength Momentum |
1142 40.1(59) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | La Cueva | 0.000 | 1218 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-4) | 581 | 10% | |
08/26/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.001 | 1338 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-2) | 660 | 4% | |
08/29/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1418 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 571 | 3% | |
09/01/15 | at West Mesa | 0.012 | 1119 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 911 | 14% | |
09/03/15 | Rio Grande | 0.013 | 936 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-2) | 700 | 33% | |
09/12/15 | Piedra Vista !! | 0.052 | 799 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+3) | 933 | 51% | |
09/15/15 | at Valencia | 0.030 | 1241 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-2) | 665 | 8% | |
09/17/15 | Moriarty | 0.101 | 904 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 734 | 36% | |
09/19/15 | Los Lunas | 0.016 | 1165 | L 1-10 | Expected (-5) | 501 | 14% | |
09/23/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.220 | 898 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 850 | 32% | |
09/26/15 | at Hope Christian ? | 0.129 | 1009 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-4) | 602 | 21% | |
09/29/15 | at Capital | 0.121 | 1241 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 665 | 7% | |
10/01/15 | at West Mesa | 0.309 | 1119 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 760 | 14% | |
10/06/15 | Los Alamos | 0.372 | 1257 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 810 | 8% | |
10/10/15 | Bernalillo ?? | 0.355 | 898 | L 2- 7 | Expected (-4) | 579 | 36% | |
10/17/15 | Capital | 0.573 | 1241 | L 2- 6 | Expected (0) | 801 | 9% | |
10/22/15 | at Manzano | 0.983 | 886 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 795 | 33% | |
10/24/15 | Los Alamos | 0.619 | 1257 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 810 | 8% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Del Norte actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1142, while
Del Norte's "weighted playing strength" is 768
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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